Analysis

12 developments from 12 outlets in the past week.

12 stories 12 outlets
Reported by several outlets

Poll

Have you delayed care in the past year because of cost?

Forecast poll

Will federal courts permanently strike down Medicaid work requirement rules by the end of the year?

Forecast · closes Jan 30
Readers say yes –
70%

Reader odds appear once enough people forecast · resolves automatically from reported evidence.

Analysis

Recent elections in Brazil, Israel, and Serbia have resulted in significant political shifts, including a presidential victory for Lula in Brazil and a deadlocked parliamentary outcome in Israel. These developments impact governance and stability in their respective regions, with ongoing concerns regarding election integrity and the peaceful transfer of power. Observers are now watching for the resolution of government formation in Israel and the legal and political fallout surrounding the post-election situation in Brazil.

12 stories 12 outlets
Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff election scheduled for late October 2026?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 44%
Flávio Bolsonaro 43%
Other or contested 13%

Poll

What would most improve trust in elections?

Poll

Should there be age limits for top elected offices?

Analysis

Recent reports confirm new Ebola cases in Nigeria and Kenya, while the ongoing outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo has expanded to an eighth province. These developments raise concerns about regional public health preparedness and the potential for cross-border transmission. Observers are now monitoring how health authorities in affected nations manage containment efforts and border screenings to prevent further spread.

12 stories 12 outlets
Reported by several outlets

Poll

If a new outbreak spread widely, which measures would you support?

Poll

How much do you trust official health advice right now?

Analysis

11 developments from 11 outlets in the past week.

11 stories 11 outlets
Reported by several outlets

Poll

Which rising cost hits your budget hardest right now?

Poll

Compared with a year ago, is your household better or worse off?

Analysis

The Federal Reserve has held interest rates steady despite internal dissent and ongoing inflation concerns, while European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde announced she will step down early. These decisions influence consumer borrowing costs for mortgages, credit cards, and auto loans, and signal potential shifts in global monetary policy. Investors are now watching for future rate adjustments from the Bank of Japan and potential policy changes following the leadership transition at the ECB.

5 stories 5 outlets
Reported by several outlets

Poll

Should central banks be more worried about inflation or jobs right now?

Forecast poll

Will the Federal Open Market Committee lower the federal funds target range at its next meeting by October 31, 2025?

Forecast · closes Nov 30
Readers say yes –
70%

Reader odds appear once enough people forecast · resolves automatically from reported evidence.