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- We follow big real-world issues, like wars, prices, climate and health, and only show news that changes them.
- Tap a topic to see The full picture: a plain-English summary where every point links to the story it came from.
- The odds show what could happen next. Make your own call, and follow topics to hear when things change.
Elections and democracy
California leader calls attack on alleged noncitizen voting ‘weaponizing the law’
State attorney general said Trump’s justice department’s directive to verify 20,000 ballots is completely improperCalifornia’s attorney general on Saturday rebuked the Trump administration’s efforts to quash alleged noncitizen voting, calling it “politicizing and weaponizing the law”.Rob Bonta, the state’s attorney gen
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PPBS · 1d
Capehart and Ponnuru on Trump's threat to block Alaska election results
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PPBS · 7h
Trump casts his midterm ballot early in Florida
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PPBS · 1d
Signs of fraying loyalty emerge in Netanyahu stronghold before Israeli election
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PPBS · 1d
Brazil's high-stakes presidential runoff could reshape country's future
Analysis
Voters in Brazil are preparing for a high-stakes presidential runoff between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and challenger Flávio Bolsonaro, while political tensions rise globally with protests in Israel and significant campaign spending in the U.S. midterm elections. These developments impact citizens by shaping the future of national leadership, electoral integrity, and the influence of money in politics. Observers are now monitoring the outcome of the Brazilian vote and the ongoing legal and administrative battles surrounding election procedures in the United States.
2 stories say getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff election scheduled for late October 2026?Poll
Should social media platforms remove false claims about voting?
Poll
What would most improve trust in elections?
Jobs and the labor market
Analysis
3 developments from 4 outlets in the past week. Recent evidence leans getting better.
3 stories say getting better
Reported by several outletsForecast
What will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate be for January 2027, as first reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics?Forecast poll
Will the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics report a national unemployment rate of 4.5% or higher in a jobs report released by 2025-12-31?
Reader odds appear once enough people forecast · resolves automatically from reported evidence.
Treasury proposes rule to curb high-tech investments in China and other adversaries
The U.S. Treasury Department proposed a rule Thursday to crack down on American high-tech investments such as supercomputing and artificial intelligence in China, Russia, North Korea and other "countries of concern."
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TThe Guardian · 2d
Sharp drops for AI stocks overwhelm markets worldwide as oil prices jump
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CCNBC · 2d
OpenAI nears up to $30 billion funding round at $1.25 trillion valuation led by UAE investors
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CCNBC · 1d
Turmoil hits AI build-out as neoclouds face pressure, credit risks mount and Solidigm pulls IPO
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TThe Guardian · 4d
US bans use of China’s DeepSeek AI tools by government agencies
Analysis
Recent developments highlight growing global friction surrounding AI, ranging from market volatility and investment restrictions in China to public backlash against the environmental and social costs of data centers. These events underscore the tangible impact of AI on daily life, including cybersecurity vulnerabilities, the spread of disinformation, and shifting labor markets. Moving forward, observers are tracking how international regulatory efforts, such as the EU's push for sovereign AI and U.S. investment curbs, will balance innovation with national security and public safety concerns.
2 stories say getting worse, 1 story says getting better
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the United States or the European Union implement new restrictions on the export or use of Chinese-developed AI models by March 31, 2027?Poll
How should governments regulate advanced AI?
Forecast poll
Will the EU pass new legislation specifically regulating the use of copyrighted books for AI training by December 31, 2024?
Reader odds appear once enough people forecast · resolves automatically from reported evidence.
Housing costs and affordability
Analysis
3 developments from 3 outlets in the past week. Recent evidence leans getting better.
1 story says getting better, 1 story says getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
What will the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage average in the United States be on February 25, 2027, according to Freddie Mac?Poll
Should local zoning rules be loosened to allow more apartments?
Poll
What would do most to make housing affordable?
Healthcare access and costs
Medicare Advantage cuts leave millions scrambling to find coverage
Health care costs are climbing, putting new pressure on millions of Americans and raising questions about the coverage they can afford. The challenges extend to Medicare Advantage. In some parts of the country, insurers are pulling out of markets or eliminating plans that many rely on. We hear from seniors struggling t
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PPBS · 3d
Supreme Court rebuffs Trump administration restrictions on medical care for transgender inmates
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PPBS · 3d
How Idaho's abortion ban reshaped reproductive care and fueled a fight for change
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TThe Guardian · 1d
Why did an Epstein-linked billionaire step down from one of America’s most famous hospitals?
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BBBC News · 1d
Are California voters about to impose world's first 'tax on billionaires'?
Analysis
10 developments from 10 outlets in the past week. Recent evidence leans getting better.
1 story says getting better, 1 story says mixed, 1 story says getting worse
Reported by several outlets