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- We follow big real-world issues, like wars, prices, climate and health, and only show news that changes them.
- Tap a topic to see The full picture: a plain-English summary where every point links to the story it came from.
- The odds show what could happen next. Make your own call, and follow topics to hear when things change.
Elections and democracy
Judge orders Trump administration to immediately stop taxpayer-funded TV ads
The ads featuring President Trump have been criticized as government propaganda and as aimed at influencing the outcome of the midterm election.
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TThe Guardian · 2d
Marcy Kaptur: longest-serving congresswoman’s bid for another House term roiled by anti-trans ad
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CCNBC · 2d
How Supreme Court justices are leaning in major 401(k) case over private funds and underperformance
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PPBS · 3d
Can $1 billion power the GOP to victory in the midterms? Some campaigns fear it's too late
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TThe Guardian · 3d
DoJ seeks to charge ex-Trump aide who gave key testimony on January 6 attack
Analysis
Recent global political developments include a pivotal presidential runoff in Brazil, the postponement of Palestinian elections, and ongoing protests in India and France regarding electoral integrity. These events impact ordinary citizens by directly influencing their representation, the stability of their local governance, and their ability to participate in democratic processes. Observers are now monitoring the outcomes of these elections and the potential for further civil unrest or legal challenges in the affected regions.
1 story says getting better, 1 story says getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the 2026 US midterm election results be officially certified in all states by December 31, 2026?Poll
What would most improve trust in elections?
Poll
Should there be age limits for top elected offices?
Inflation and cost of living
Analysis
Rising mortgage rates have surpassed 7% for the first time in 20 months, further straining housing affordability for Americans already grappling with stagnant wages and high prices. While shoppers are increasingly turning to bulk retailers like Costco to manage expenses, reports of price discrepancies at major convenience chains and limited grocery access in some areas highlight ongoing challenges for household budgets. Moving forward, observers are monitoring potential policy shifts regarding energy exports and legislative efforts to increase grocery store competition.
1 story says getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
What will be the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate in the United States on January 15, 2027?Poll
Which rising cost hits your budget hardest right now?
Poll
Compared with a year ago, is your household better or worse off?
Interest rates and central banks
Analysis
Bond yields have surged to multi-year highs as investors anticipate further interest rate increases from the Federal Reserve to combat persistent inflation. This trend is directly impacting consumers by pushing mortgage rates above 7% and threatening to increase costs for other loans like auto financing. Market observers are now closely watching upcoming Federal Reserve economic projections and policy statements to gauge the duration and severity of these higher borrowing costs.
Forecast
Will the Federal Reserve raise the federal funds target rate at or before the December 2026 FOMC meeting?Poll
What should the central bank do at its next meeting?
Poll
Are current borrowing costs stopping you from a big purchase?
TSMC’s September sales surge year-over-year as AI drives chip demand
TSMC's September net revenue came in at 511.86 billion New Taiwan dollars
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CCNBC · 4d
AI startup Manus raises $500 million in first funding round since Meta breakup
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CCNBC · 3d
ChatGPT for Teens is not necessarily 'safer than the previous version,' Common Sense Media finds
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CCNBC · 4d
Amazon overhauls aging devices lineup with higher-priced Alexa tablet, dumping the budget Fire
Analysis
Major AI labs like OpenAI and Anthropic are facing increased scrutiny from the FTC and calls for regulation from figures like Bill Gates, even as companies continue to release more advanced models. While President Trump has secured a voluntary safety accord with tech leaders to avoid government mandates, concerns persist regarding the potential for autonomous AI agents to cause harm and the risk of initial job displacement. Moving forward, the focus remains on whether these voluntary industry agreements will be sufficient to address safety risks or if formal government enforcement will be required.
1 story says getting better
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the United States and China sign a formal bilateral agreement on AI safety or oversight by March 25, 2027?Poll
How should governments regulate advanced AI?
Poll
Do you expect AI to change your job in the next five years?
Gulf coast residents prepare ahead of Hurricane Isaias landfall – video
Boarding up windows and filling sandbags and fuel tanks are part of routine hurricane preparation for residents of the Gulf coast. Isaias strengthened into a category 3 hurricane on Friday morning as it barreled toward the US Gulf coast, and states of emergency have been declared in Alabama, Florida and Mississippi. Is
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PPBS · 3d
Gulf Coast prepares for landfall as Hurricane Isaias gains power
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PPBS · 3d
El Niño's storm-killer winds and climate's warming waters in fight over future of Hurricane Isaias
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TThe Guardian · 4d
Hurricane Isaias forecast to bring dangerous storm surge, with millions under warnings in US
Analysis
Extreme weather events are intensifying globally, with recent catastrophic flooding in Thailand and India causing dozens of deaths and widespread evacuations. These events, compounded by the ongoing El Niño phenomenon and rising global temperatures, are increasingly linked to severe public health risks, including heat-related mortality and pregnancy complications. Observers are now monitoring the potential for further climate-related disasters as international bodies warn of escalating risks to vulnerable regions and the Supreme Court prepares to hear a case regarding fossil fuel industry liability.
2 stories say getting worse
Reported by several outlets