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- We follow big real-world issues, like wars, prices, climate and health, and only show news that changes them.
- Tap a topic to see The full picture: a plain-English summary where every point links to the story it came from.
- The odds show what could happen next. Make your own call, and follow topics to hear when things change.
Gina Raimondo thinks AI ultimately will create jobs. It's the initial mass layoffs wave that worries her
No one knows what AI will mean for jobs long-term, but the layoffs are likely to hit first without proper planning, says former US Commerce Sec. Gina Raimondo.
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TThe Guardian · 21h
Trump announces vague ‘morally binding’ AI deal among tech CEOs for ‘tremendous self-policing’
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PPBS · 1d
Anthropic and OpenAI sound the alarm on AI safety — and seek to shape how it's controlled
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CCNBC · 1d
OpenAI sparked Hugging Face bids with early investment offer ahead of Nvidia's $13 billion deal
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CCNBC · 1d
Anthropic launches cheaper AI model, its second release since CEO's call for a slowdown
Analysis
President Trump has secured a voluntary, non-binding safety agreement with major tech CEOs while rejecting formal government regulation, even as industry leaders like OpenAI and Anthropic call for slowed development. These developments highlight a growing tension between the push for rapid AI innovation and concerns over potential risks, including job displacement, political polarization, and autonomous security threats. Observers are now watching to see if voluntary industry self-policing will be sufficient to address these safety and accountability challenges.
2 stories say getting better, 2 stories say getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the United States and China sign a formal bilateral agreement on AI safety or oversight by March 25, 2027?Poll
Should AI-generated images and video be required to carry a label?
Poll
How should governments regulate advanced AI?
Trade and tariffs
Beijing warns of retaliation if Europe imposes curbs on Chinese businesses
China must "respond firmly" if the EU introduces restrictions on Chinese businesses or products, the Commerce Ministry said, according to a CNBC translation.
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CCNBC · 21h
Ford CEO says it's 'too late' for Europe to fend off Chinese automakers, but not for U.S.
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CCNBC · 3h
Trump's latest global tariffs face trade court challenge
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PPBS · 4d
Mexico's foreign secretary on Trump, cartel violence and U.S. trade talks
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PPBS · 2d
U.S. and China release product lists for tariff cuts after Trump-Xi meeting
Analysis
Recent trade tensions are intensifying as the Trump administration faces political pressure over beef imports and struggles to leverage negotiations with China, while the UK reports its largest food and drink trade deficit since 2000. These developments highlight how shifting tariff policies and international trade imbalances are impacting domestic industries, from Canadian apparel manufacturers to European automotive markets. Observers are now watching for potential rollbacks on specific import plans and further diplomatic developments between the U.S., China, and Canada.
4 stories say getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the Trump administration formally implement new tariffs on Chinese hybrid vehicle imports by March 1, 2027?Poll
Would you pay more for goods made in your own country?
Poll
Do tariffs on imports help or hurt your country overall?
Immigration and borders
The secret Trump deals sending migrants across the world - Full Story podcast
A Sierra Leonean nurse detained, handcuffed and flown to Ghana. An Iranian dissident sent to Central African Republic. A Cameroonian deported to Equatorial Guinea.This is the face of the Trump administration’s policy since 2025 – striking deals with 35 countries and sending up to 25,000 migrants in the US across the wo
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FFrance 24 · 2d
US deportations are triggering a 'cascade' of rights abuses, UN experts warn
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TThe Guardian · 21h
California bans officers’ use of electric-shock gloves after ICE reveals plan to equip agents
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TThe Guardian · 21h
Venezuelan man shot by ICE agent in Texas charged with assaulting an officer
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TThe Guardian · 3h
Republican urges Trump administration to ‘step back’ and rethink immigration agenda
Analysis
The US Supreme Court has temporarily allowed the Trump administration to resume deporting migrants to third countries, a policy UN experts warn is increasing risks of rights abuses and torture. This shift impacts thousands of migrants who may now be sent to nations where they have no existing ties, while US lawmakers simultaneously introduce legislation to limit ICE's detention and arrest powers. Observers are now watching for further legal rulings on the legality of these third-country deportations and the potential political fallout for officials facing pressure over these enforcement operations.
4 stories say getting worse, 2 stories say getting better
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the U.S. Supreme Court issue a ruling or stay that allows the Trump administration to proceed with third-country deportations by March 15, 2027?Last move: Supreme Court grants emergency stay · 21h ago
Poll
Should long-term undocumented residents have a path to legal status?
Poll
What should immigration policy prioritise?
Jobs and the labor market
Trump announces $15bn Iowa steel plant as he bids to boost flagging midterm hopes
President says plant will be built by Indian-owned company and calls it largest such facility in American historyDonald Trump on Monday announced what he called the largest steel plant in American history to be built in Iowa, giving Republicans a jobs message to take to voters in a state that could help decide control
+1 more sources-
TThe Guardian · 21h
Key data missing for half of US child labor deaths, official report finds
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CCNBC · 21h
Prediction market traders think the U.S. added more jobs in September than economists estimate
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CCNBC · 3h
Private sector jobs rose by 90,000 in September, better than expected, ADP reports
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CCNBC · 2d
New grads say employers set the bar too high for entry-level roles: 'No job is willing to give you that first experience'
Analysis
8 developments from 9 outlets in the past week. Recent evidence leans getting better.
2 stories say getting better, 1 story says getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the University of Cambridge officially reopen its investigation into the hiring process of Professor Jason Arday by March 25, 2027?Poll
What worries you more about the job market?
Poll
How secure does your job feel right now?
Interest rates and central banks
Investors who have shunned diversification face maybe the best buying opportunity for bonds in decades
No diversification needed: The 10-year total return stocks minus bonds is near the highest in history.
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FFederal Reserve · Monetary policy · 5d
Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
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FFederal Reserve · Monetary policy · 5d
Federal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee release economic projections from the September 15-16 FOMC meeting
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CCNBC · 2d
Here are the 4 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week ahead
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CCNBC · 3h
Fed watchdog finds renovation failures, but no grounds for criminal referral
Analysis
Bond yields have surged to multi-year highs as investors anticipate further interest rate increases from the Federal Reserve to combat persistent inflation. This trend is directly impacting consumers by pushing mortgage rates above 7% and threatening to increase costs for other loans like auto financing. Market observers are now closely watching upcoming Federal Reserve economic projections and policy statements to gauge the duration and severity of these higher borrowing costs.
5 stories say getting worse, 1 story says getting better
Well confirmed