Discuss Full coverage · 3 →
C CNBC· 1d

Americans grow more pessimistic about their finances, New York Fed finds — expert warns of ‘tough choices’ ahead

As affordability pressures mount, Americans are increasingly concerned about their financial future, the New York Fed's data shows.

Analysis

Rising mortgage rates have surpassed 7% for the first time in 20 months, further straining housing affordability for Americans already grappling with stagnant wages and high prices. While shoppers are increasingly turning to bulk retailers like Costco to manage expenses, reports of price discrepancies at major convenience chains and limited grocery access in some areas highlight ongoing challenges for household budgets. Moving forward, observers are monitoring potential policy shifts regarding energy exports and legislative efforts to increase grocery store competition.

3 stories 3 outlets

2 stories say getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

What will be the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate in the United States on January 15, 2027?
Between 6.0% and 7.0% 43%
Above 7.0% 37%
Below 6.0% 21%
Discuss Full coverage · 5 →
C CNBC· 1d

Fed officials see another hike coming, but no sign as to when, minutes show

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday released minutes from its Sept. 15-16 policy meeting.

Analysis

Bond yields have surged to multi-year highs as investors anticipate further interest rate increases from the Federal Reserve to combat persistent inflation. This trend is directly impacting consumers by pushing mortgage rates above 7% and threatening to increase costs for other loans like auto financing. Market observers are now closely watching upcoming Federal Reserve economic projections and policy statements to gauge the duration and severity of these higher borrowing costs.

5 stories 5 outlets

1 story says getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the Federal Reserve raise the federal funds target rate at or before the December 2026 FOMC meeting?
Target rate increases 58%
Target rate remains same or decreases 42%
Discuss Full coverage · 5 →
T The Guardian· 3h

Gulf coast residents prepare ahead of Hurricane Isaias landfall – video

Boarding up windows and filling sandbags and fuel tanks are part of routine hurricane preparation for residents of the Gulf coast. Isaias strengthened into a category 3 hurricane on Friday morning as it barreled toward the US Gulf coast, and states of emergency have been declared in Alabama, Florida and Mississippi. Is

Analysis

Recent extreme weather events, including catastrophic flooding in Thailand and India and the approach of Hurricane Nolo in Hawaii, have intensified global concerns about climate-related disasters. These events, alongside reports linking heatwaves to increased mortality and poor air quality, highlight growing risks to public health and infrastructure worldwide. Observers are now monitoring international policy responses, including a pending Supreme Court case regarding fossil fuel industry liability for climate change.

5 stories 5 outlets ↑ Getting worse

2 stories say getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the total number of confirmed fatalities from Hurricane Polo and Hurricane Nolo combined exceed 150 by December 31, 2026?
150 or fewer fatalities 58%
151 or more fatalities 42%
Discuss Full coverage · 5 →
T The Guardian· 1d

‘Chaos and cruelty’: the kids trapped in Trump’s immigration enforcement campaign

Children are being detained in record numbers, sometimes alone and where lawyers and family cannot find themThe image of immigration officers arresting five-year-old Liam Conejo Ramos – in a blue bunny hat and Spider-Man backpack – in January sparked outrage across the country.Celebrities from Ms Rachel to Madonna call

Analysis

The US Supreme Court has temporarily allowed the Trump administration to resume deporting migrants to third countries, a policy UN experts warn is increasing risks of rights abuses and torture. This shift impacts thousands of migrants who may now be sent to nations where they have no existing ties, while US lawmakers simultaneously introduce legislation to limit ICE's detention and arrest powers. Observers are now watching for further legal rulings on the legality of these third-country deportations and the potential political fallout for officials facing pressure over these enforcement operations.

5 stories 5 outlets ↑ Getting worse

2 stories say getting worse, 1 story says mixed

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the U.S. Supreme Court issue a ruling or stay that allows the Trump administration to proceed with third-country deportations by March 15, 2027?
Supreme Court allows deportations 85%
Deportations remain blocked or undecided 15%

Last move: Supreme Court grants emergency stay · Sep 30 ago

Discuss Full coverage · 4 →
C CNBC· 1d

TSMC’s September sales surge year-over-year as AI drives chip demand

TSMC's September net revenue came in at 511.86 billion New Taiwan dollars

Analysis

Major AI labs like OpenAI and Anthropic are facing increased scrutiny from the FTC and calls for regulation from figures like Bill Gates, even as companies continue to release more advanced models. While President Trump has secured a voluntary safety accord with tech leaders to avoid government mandates, concerns persist regarding the potential for autonomous AI agents to cause harm and the risk of initial job displacement. Moving forward, the focus remains on whether these voluntary industry agreements will be sufficient to address safety risks or if formal government enforcement will be required.

4 stories 4 outlets

1 story says getting better

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the United States and China sign a formal bilateral agreement on AI safety or oversight by March 25, 2027?
No formal agreement reached 72%
Formal bilateral agreement signed 28%