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- We follow big real-world issues, like wars, prices, climate and health, and only show news that changes them.
- Tap a topic to see The full picture: a plain-English summary where every point links to the story it came from.
- The odds show what could happen next. Make your own call, and follow topics to hear when things change.
Interest rates and central banks
Fed officials are already saying they’ll need to get back to hiking rates
The comments from Federal Reserve Presidents Alberto Musalem and Lorie Logan offer the first morsels of insight into what leaders at the Fed see happening next.
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CCNBC · 6d
Fed holds rates steady despite concerns over inflation
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PPBS · 6d
News Wrap: Fed holds interest rates unchanged as inflation remains elevated
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CCNBC · 6d
Fed leaves rates unchanged: What it means for credit cards, mortgages, auto loans and savings accounts
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CCNBC · 6d
Here are five key takeaways from the Fed rate decision and Warsh news conference
Analysis
The Federal Reserve has held interest rates steady despite internal dissent and ongoing inflation concerns, while European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde announced she will step down early. These decisions influence consumer borrowing costs for mortgages, credit cards, and auto loans, and signal potential shifts in global monetary policy. Investors are now watching for future rate adjustments from the Bank of Japan and potential policy changes following the leadership transition at the ECB.
2 stories say getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
By how much will the Federal Reserve's federal funds target range change between October 18, 2026 and January 31, 2027?Poll
What should the central bank do at its next meeting?
Forecast poll
Will the Federal Open Market Committee lower the federal funds target range at its next meeting by October 31, 2025?
Reader odds appear once enough people forecast · resolves automatically from reported evidence.
Tech giants need legacy businesses to keep growing as they pour trillions into the AI buildout
Hyperscalers continue spending big on artificial intelligence, putting pressure on their legacy businesses and impacting their free cash flow.
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CCNBC · 4h
Meta seeks to raise up to $25 billion in debt sale as AI spending jumps
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CCNBC · 3d
OpenAI pares fundraising goal, now seeking up to $20 billion in latest round
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CCNBC · 1d
Oracle files to sell $20 billion in new stock, bonds to finance AI buildout
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CCNBC · 1d
Sam Altman makes surprise South Korea visit as OpenAI builds on chip partnerships
Analysis
Recent developments highlight a growing tension between AI's rapid expansion and its societal costs, ranging from market volatility and cybersecurity vulnerabilities to public backlash against the environmental impact of data centers. These events underscore the increasing scrutiny of AI's influence on national security, political discourse, and personal safety, as governments and communities push for greater oversight. Moving forward, observers are tracking how international regulatory efforts, investment restrictions, and local opposition to infrastructure projects will shape the future of the AI industry.
Forecast
Will the United States or the European Union implement new restrictions on the export or use of Chinese-developed AI models by March 31, 2027?Poll
How should governments regulate advanced AI?
Forecast poll
Will the EU pass new legislation specifically regulating the use of copyrighted books for AI training by December 31, 2024?
Reader odds appear once enough people forecast · resolves automatically from reported evidence.
Inflation and cost of living
New survey finds more than two-thirds of Americans believe their country is in decline
Almost half of Americans, 47%, say they are experiencing real pain from rising prices – a sharp rise from previous years.
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CCNBC · 4d
Halloween gets pricier as chocolate costs climb — Hershey may feel the pinch
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PPBS · 4h
Trump and the high cost of living loom over California governor's race between Becerra and Hilton
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CCNBC · 16h
Midterm elections could jolt stocks if Democrats sweep Congress
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AAl Jazeera · 1d
US midterms 2026: What polls reveal about Democratic, Republican voters
Analysis
10 developments from 10 outlets in the past week. Recent evidence leans getting worse.
2 stories say getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
What will the US year-over-year CPI inflation rate for December 2026 be, as first published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics by January 31, 2027?Poll
Which rising cost hits your budget hardest right now?
Poll
Compared with a year ago, is your household better or worse off?
Healthcare access and costs
Judge blocks Trump administration's Medicaid work requirement rule forcing proof of medical frailty
Twenty-five states sued the Trump administration in June over the new Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services guidance tied to the 2025 law known as the "One Big Beautiful Bill."
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CCNBC · 4h
Sen. Chris Murphy still hospitalized after suffering a stroke over the weekend
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PPBS · 6d
AP report: FDA scientists opposed the Trump administration's move to ease peptides access
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PPBS · 2d
Connecticut Sen. Chris Murphy is in the hospital after having a stroke, his office says
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PPBS · 1d
Why health insurance premiums are rising, according to experts
Analysis
12 developments from 14 outlets in the past week. Recent evidence leans getting better.
1 story says getting better
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the United States federal government implement new restrictions on Medicare drug price negotiations or expand exemptions for drugmakers by March 31, 2027?Poll
Should employer-provided health plans be required to cover GLP-1 weight-loss drugs?
Forecast poll
Will federal courts permanently strike down Medicaid work requirement rules by the end of the year?
Reader odds appear once enough people forecast · resolves automatically from reported evidence.
Elections and democracy
Man charged with mailing hundreds of letters containing powder to officials ahead of the election
Federal authorities charged an Oklahoma City man with sending hundreds of letters containing white powder and ominous warnings about treason to public officials ahead of the 2024 and 2026 elections.
+1 more sources-
PPBS · 4h
A look at the DOJ's effort to gain greater control over elections
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PPBS · 4h
AP Voter Poll: Voters want Congress to impose more checks on an unpopular president
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PPBS · 4h
Live Updates: First polls begin to close with control of Congress at stake
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CCNBC · 4h
Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac rally as Ackman presses for conservatorship exit
Analysis
Recent elections in Brazil, Israel, and Serbia have resulted in significant political shifts, including a presidential victory for Lula in Brazil and a deadlocked parliamentary outcome in Israel. These developments impact governance and stability in their respective regions, with ongoing concerns regarding election integrity and the peaceful transfer of power. Observers are now watching for the resolution of government formation in Israel and the legal and political fallout surrounding the post-election situation in Brazil.