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P PBS· 20h

Homeland Security grants temporary deportation reprieve for more than 100,000 Ukrainians and Sudanese

This decision comes as activists and lawmakers argue there are no safe conditions for Ukrainians to return to amid the war with Russia.

Analysis

4 developments from 4 outlets in the past week. Recent evidence leans getting better.

4 stories 4 outlets

1 story says getting better, 1 story says getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the United States government implement a large-scale program for the denaturalization and deportation of naturalized citizens by March 31, 2027?
No large-scale program 72%
Program implemented 28%

Poll

Should long-term undocumented residents have a path to legal status?

Poll

What should immigration policy prioritise?

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P PBS· 20h

Tamara Keith and Carrie Dann on Trump's approval rating hitting a record low

NPR's Tamara Keith and Carrie Dann of the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter join Geoff Bennett to discuss the latest political news, including a new poll putting President Trump's approval rating at a record low, the amount of money being spent on Senate races, Trump escalating his feud with Ukraine's president and

Analysis

Global electoral tensions are rising as the U.S. Department of Justice sues California over ballot processing procedures and Brazilian authorities demand Meta ensure equal treatment for presidential candidates. These developments highlight intensifying scrutiny over election integrity and social media's role in political discourse, impacting how citizens access information and cast their votes. Moving forward, observers are watching for the outcomes of these legal challenges and the impact of ongoing protests and populist shifts on upcoming elections in the U.S., Brazil, and beyond.

12 stories 12 outlets

4 stories say getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Poll

Should social media platforms remove false claims about voting?

Poll

What would most improve trust in elections?

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F Federal Reserve · Monetary policy· 4d

Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement

Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement

Analysis

3 developments from 3 outlets in the past week, including 2 official sources.

3 stories 3 outlets 2 primary sources
Reported by several outlets

Forecast

By how much will the Federal Reserve's federal funds target range change between October 18, 2026 and January 31, 2027?
No net change 33%
Net cut of 25 bp 30%
Net cut of 50+ bp 27%

Poll

Should the Federal Reserve prioritize cutting the federal funds rate now to support jobs, or hold it until inflation nears 2%?

Forecast poll

Will the Federal Open Market Committee lower the federal funds target range at its next meeting by October 31, 2025?

Forecast · closes Nov 30
Readers say yes –
70%

Reader odds appear once enough people forecast · resolves automatically from reported evidence.

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P PBS· 3d

China says it will curb tech exports, including AI, citing national security risks

The proposal came as China and the U.S. made progress in dialogues over AI safety and governance and on the setting up of a notification mechanism between the two superpowers for AI incidents that could threaten national security.

Analysis

Character.ai has filed for bankruptcy following lawsuits alleging ties to teen suicides, CNN reports, and China says it will curb exports of technology, including AI, citing national security risks. For ordinary people, these stories show AI reaching into daily life, from the safety of chatbot services to entry-level jobs for young workers in India and the destruction of physical books scanned to train AI models. Watch the U.S.-China dialogues on AI safety and governance, which PBS reports have made progress, including on setting up a mechanism to notify each other of AI incidents that could threaten national security.

7 stories 7 outlets

2 stories say mixed, 1 story says getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Poll

Should the EU prioritize developing its own sovereign AI infrastructure over adopting existing US or Chinese models?

Forecast poll

Will the EU pass new legislation specifically regulating the use of copyrighted books for AI training by December 31, 2024?

Forecast · closes Jan 14
Readers say yes –
70%

Reader odds appear once enough people forecast · resolves automatically from reported evidence.

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P PBS· 3d

Democrats say Trump increased investments in drugmakers that were given Medicare exemptions

The report from congressional Democrats found that Trump's pharmaceutical stock holdings grew from a maximum reported value of $1.7 million in 2024 to as much as $56.2 million at the end of 2025.

Analysis

2 developments from 2 outlets in the past week. Recent evidence leans getting worse.

2 stories 2 outlets ↑ Getting worse

1 story says getting worse

Early reports

Poll

Should the government negotiate prices for more prescription drugs?

Poll

What is the biggest problem with healthcare where you live?