Discuss Full coverage · 5 →
C CNBC· 1h

Russia returns to G20 table in Bangkok on U.S. invitation that angers Europe

Russia’s return to the G20 table has tested how far Washington’s outreach to Moscow will strain ties with European allies.

Analysis

Tensions between the U.S. and Ukraine have escalated following President Trump's unilateral announcement of an 'energy ceasefire' and a deal to purchase Russian diesel, which Kyiv warns will fund Moscow's war efforts. As Ukraine resumes strikes on Russian energy targets and faces deadly Russian attacks, European allies are grappling with concerns over regional security and potential sabotage. Observers are watching for the outcome of diplomatic efforts to bridge the rift between Washington and Kyiv as Ukraine seeks continued support from European partners.

5 stories 5 outlets ↑ Getting worse

3 stories say getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the UN General Assembly or G20 adopt a resolution or joint declaration formally condemning Russia's invasion of Ukraine by 2027-01-15?
No formal condemnation 61%
Formal condemnation adopted 39%

Poll

Should Western countries keep sending weapons to Ukraine?

Poll

Should frozen Russian assets be used to rebuild Ukraine?

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P PBS· 7h

Trump administration sues California to block counting of alleged noncitizen mail ballots

The Trump administration sued California election officials Thursday, asking a judge to bar the state from counting mail-in ballots for next month's midterm elections from people the federal government has identified as "likely" noncitizens until their status can be confirmed.

+1 more sources

Analysis

Recent election-related developments range from runoff voting in Brazil and leadership shifts in Serbia to ongoing legal battles over US midterm ballot procedures and voter rolls. These events impact citizens by directly influencing political representation, the integrity of voting processes, and the stability of governance in their respective nations. Observers are now watching for the outcomes of these high-stakes elections and the broader implications of judicial rulings on upcoming democratic participation.

12 stories 13 outlets

2 stories say getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the 2026 US midterm election results be officially certified in all states by December 31, 2026?
All states certified by deadline 72%
One or more states delayed 28%

Poll

What would most improve trust in elections?

Poll

Should there be age limits for top elected offices?

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C CNBC· 7h

Brian Sullivan: Why the 'real' price of oil is likely $30-$40 higher than where it is now

Physical oil can cost about $38 a barrel more to deliver, as tanker rates surge.

Analysis

Global energy markets are experiencing significant volatility as shipping costs surge due to tanker shortages and nations like France and the U.S. implement emergency measures, including diesel releases and regulatory rollbacks, to combat rising fuel prices. These developments directly impact consumers through sustained high gas prices and potential shifts in fuel availability ahead of the U.S. midterm elections. Observers are now monitoring the effectiveness of these government interventions and the ongoing diplomatic talks between the U.S. and Iran regarding potential supply stabilization.

4 stories 4 outlets

2 stories say getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the European Union report a diesel supply shortage or implement emergency rationing by January 15, 2027?
Supply remains stable 65%
Shortage or rationing reported 35%

Poll

How should governments respond to high fuel prices?

Poll

Have fuel prices changed how you travel in the past month?

Discuss Full coverage · 1 →
C CNBC· 1h

India's rupee forecast to weaken toward 100-per-dollar level even as RBI pushes back

The RBI's latest moves have helped the rupee recover from 96.79 rupees per dollar to the 95-level over recent days.

Analysis

India's economy faces conflicting pressures as retail inflation hits a 23-month high, driven by rising food costs, while the government simultaneously pushes for long-term growth through a $25 billion deep tech investment and new green energy policies. These developments impact household budgets and employment prospects, creating a complex landscape for consumers and investors alike. Moving forward, observers are monitoring the government's response to agricultural distress and the effectiveness of new trade and infrastructure initiatives in stabilizing the economy.

1 stories 1 outlets

1 story says getting worse

Early reports

Forecast

Will the Indian government officially launch the $25 billion Deep Tech investment fund by March 31, 2027?
Fund officially launched 61%
Fund not yet launched 39%

Poll

What should India's government focus on first?

Poll

Is GST simpler for businesses than the old tax system?

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P PBS· 7h

Retail sales saw 0.8% bump in September, but big chunk of spending went to paying for gas

Excluding business at gas stations, retail sales rose 0.2% in September. The government figures aren't adjusted for inflation, which accelerated last month as gasoline and many other goods and services became more expensive.

Analysis

Recent data indicates that wholesale and retail inflation are accelerating, driven largely by rising fuel costs that are straining household budgets and forcing consumers to make difficult financial choices. As affordability concerns mount, Americans are growing increasingly pessimistic about their financial futures, with cost-of-living issues becoming a central focus for voters. Investors and policymakers are now closely watching upcoming consumer price index reports and Federal Reserve commentary to gauge the persistence of these price pressures.

7 stories 7 outlets ↑ Getting worse

3 stories say getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

What will be the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate in the United States on January 15, 2027?
Between 6.0% and 7.0% 43%
Above 7.0% 37%
Below 6.0% 21%

Poll

Which rising cost hits your budget hardest right now?

Poll

Compared with a year ago, is your household better or worse off?