New to Zoose? Here's how it works
- We follow big real-world issues, like wars, prices, climate and health, and only show news that changes them.
- Tap a topic to see The full picture: a plain-English summary where every point links to the story it came from.
- The odds show what could happen next. Make your own call, and follow topics to hear when things change.
Interest rates and central banks
Bank of Japan is expected to hold rates this week — but stay hawkish: CNBC survey
All survey respondents said they expect the BOJ to set the stage for a rate hike in December or January, as inflation and wages continue to rise.
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CCNBC · 4d
10-year Treasury yield tumbles below 5% to lowest level in nearly a month
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CCNBC · 4d
Japan core inflation in September surges to its highest this year at 2.1%
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CCNBC · 5d
Bank of Korea holds rates after President Lee calls for boosting housing supply
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CCNBC · 1h
Fed expected to hold rates steady, but Warsh may point way to more hikes
Analysis
8 developments from 8 outlets in the past week. Recent evidence leans mixed.
1 story says mixed, 1 story says getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
By how much will the Federal Reserve's federal funds target range change between October 18, 2026 and January 31, 2027?Poll
What should the central bank do at its next meeting?
Forecast poll
Will the Federal Open Market Committee lower the federal funds target range at its next meeting by October 31, 2025?
Reader odds appear once enough people forecast · resolves automatically from reported evidence.
Inflation and cost of living
FTC and 20 states sue Dollar General, alleging retailer overcharged shoppers
The Federal Trade Commission and 20 states have filed a lawsuit against Dollar General, claiming the retailer has charged customers more than advertised prices.
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CCNBC · 19h
Mortgage rates above 7% are the 'new normal'—here's why
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TThe Guardian · 1d
‘We don’t have inflation’? Five charts show the US economic reality of Trump’s second term so far
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TThe Guardian · 1d
If Democrats win big, will they learn the right lessons from their victory? | Jan-Werner Mueller
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CCNBC · 1d
Here are 4 big things we're watching in the stock market this week
Analysis
12 developments from 12 outlets in the past week. Recent evidence leans getting worse.
2 stories say getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
What will the US year-over-year CPI inflation rate for December 2026 be, as first published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics by January 31, 2027?Poll
What should be the main tool to bring prices down?
Poll
Which rising cost hits your budget hardest right now?
Elections and democracy
Trump administration asks Washington to set aside hundreds of ballots from suspected noncitizen voters
This is the latest sign of the administration’s attempts to challenge states with competitive midterm races that could determine control of CongressThe Trump administration on Monday asked Washington state to set aside any ballots received from more than 400 people it alleges are registered to vote without US citizensh
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PPBS · 13h
Candidates enter final week of campaigning with control of Congress at stake
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PPBS · 13h
Netanyahu faces Israeli voters in first election since Oct. 7 and Gaza war
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TThe Guardian · 13h
Court blocks bid by Trump DoJ to stop California from counting mail-in ballots
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TThe Guardian · 13h
Trump dangles $1m reward for reporting voter fraud in past or upcoming elections
Analysis
Recent election cycles in Brazil and Serbia have resulted in significant leadership shifts, while political campaigns in the U.S. continue to intensify ahead of midterm elections with record-breaking spending and legal disputes over ballot processing. These developments highlight a global trend of heightened polarization and intense scrutiny over electoral integrity that directly impacts governance and policy direction. Observers are now monitoring how these new administrations navigate political instability and how U.S. officials manage ongoing legal challenges regarding voter eligibility and election administration.
4 stories say getting worse, 2 stories say getting better, 1 story says mixed
Reported by several outletsForecast
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff election scheduled for late October 2026?Poll
Should social media platforms remove false claims about voting?
Poll
What would most improve trust in elections?
SoftBank reportedly plans $50 billion tech investment in aspiring 'AI nation' Malaysia
SoftBank Group reportedly plans to invest $50 billion in Malaysia's technology sector, including artificial intelligence and data centers.
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CCNBC · 13h
From Wall Street to Silicon Valley, Anthropic IPO poised to have massive 'trickle-down effect'
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PPBS · 3d
Treasury proposes rule to curb high-tech investments in China and other adversaries
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TThe Guardian · 4d
Sharp drops for AI stocks overwhelm markets worldwide as oil prices jump
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CCNBC · 4d
OpenAI nears up to $30 billion funding round at $1.25 trillion valuation led by UAE investors
Analysis
Recent developments highlight a growing tension between AI's rapid expansion and its real-world consequences, ranging from market volatility and cybersecurity vulnerabilities to legal challenges regarding safety and misinformation. These events impact ordinary people through potential disruptions to digital infrastructure, the spread of AI-generated falsehoods, and local concerns over the environmental and economic costs of data centers. Moving forward, observers are watching how international regulatory efforts, such as U.S. investment restrictions and EU policy initiatives, will balance national security and safety with the industry's continued push for global investment.
2 stories say getting better, 1 story says getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the United States or the European Union implement new restrictions on the export or use of Chinese-developed AI models by March 31, 2027?Poll
How should governments regulate advanced AI?
Forecast poll
Will the EU pass new legislation specifically regulating the use of copyrighted books for AI training by December 31, 2024?
Reader odds appear once enough people forecast · resolves automatically from reported evidence.
Trade and tariffs
China and Russia are redrawing Arctic trade. Can Europe fight back?
China and Russia are tightening their grip on Arctic shipping routes, turning the rapidly warming region into a new geopolitical battleground with Europe.
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PPBS · 3d
Seeking to help Collins in Maine, Trump exempts some Canadian imports from his 50% tariffs
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CCNBC · 1d
Audi defends plans for a $4 billion Georgia plant amid VW restructuring, tariffs
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CCNBC · 6d
Japan exports post huge miss in September as growth slows to 16.7%
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NNew York Times · 2d
Audi to Build Factory in Georgia, Trump Says
Analysis
The Trump administration is adjusting its 50% tariffs on Canadian goods by exempting some products while replacing others, prompting a new legal challenge and criticism from Canadian officials regarding increased costs for families. These trade tensions are impacting various sectors, with companies like Audi announcing new U.S. manufacturing plants to mitigate tariff exposure and steel producers in other regions reporting collateral damage. Observers are now watching for the outcome of the lawsuit against the administration's use of the Tariff Act and how ongoing diplomatic talks with nations like India and the EU will shape future trade agreements.
2 stories say getting worse, 1 story says getting better
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the United States government implement or maintain a tariff of 25% or higher on all imports from Canada as of February 1, 2027?Poll
Would you pay more for goods made in your own country?
Poll
Do tariffs on imports help or hurt your country overall?
Interest rates and central banks
Fed expected to hold rates steady, but Warsh may point way to more hikes
Markets overwhelmingly expect no change in benchmark interest rates following September's increase.
Coverage · 1 outlet
reporting
What could happen next
By how much will the Federal Reserve's federal funds target range change between October 18, 2026 and January 31, 2027?
Odds move when a signpost is confirmed by the news.
Related news
Fed rate hikes are coming, but not this week: CNBC survey
CNBC · 1h
Bank of Japan is expected to hold rates this week — but stay hawkish: CNBC survey
CNBC · 13h
Federal Reserve is likely to hold interest rates steady in October. Here's what that means for consumers
CNBC · 19h
Meet the Tower of London's Ravenmaster
CBS News · 1d
10-year Treasury yield tumbles below 5% to lowest level in nearly a month
CNBC · 4d
Japan core inflation in September surges to its highest this year at 2.1%
CNBC · 4d