Gas & oil
Everything changed for the oil, AI and bond trades over the past month
The market expects oil to keep rising, but treasury yields have declined, a warning traders and investors may be more worried about an AI crash than inflation.
Reading the latest coverage…
3 developments from 3 outlets in the past week. Recent evidence leans getting better.
1 story says mixed
Reported by several outletsReader odds appear once enough people forecast · resolves automatically from reported evidence.
Gas & oil
The market expects oil to keep rising, but treasury yields have declined, a warning traders and investors may be more worried about an AI crash than inflation.
Elections
The 2026 election could affect municipal bonds through state tax measures, new bond supply and the makeup of Congress.
Elections
Even though marketers have increasingly shifted their dollars to other media, local stations are reaping a bonanza during these midterm elections. Nowhere is this is more evident than in Texas.
India
Jio makes India’s largest-ever stock market debut, raising $3.2bn in IPO.
Elections
CNBC examines unusual price spikes in election prediction markets and how low-volume contracts can be moved by relatively small trades.
Elections
The outage comes just days before the platform is expected to experience heightened trading during the U.S. midterm elections.
Rates
Markets saw the decision as a hawkish pause and were last pricing in a 67% chance of a December rate hike.
The U.S. Fed is expected to keep the rates elevated, making U.S. Treasuries and the dollar relatively more attractive than emerging market economies for foreign investors
Elections
Firm calls charges, which include violating state gambling ban and profiting from illegal activity, ‘crazy overreach’Utah on Wednesday filed criminal charges against prediction market operator Kalshi and two of its executives, months after a federal judge rejected Kalshi’s effort to prevent Utah from enforcing its stri
Rates
Even though the interest-rate vote went as expected, there were a few surprises out of this week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting.
Rates
This is a comparison of Wednesday's Federal Open Market Committee statement with the one issued after the Fed's previous policymaking meeting in September.
Iran conflict
Iran-backed Houthi rebels say Saudi-led airstrikes have killed 14 people in a busy market in northern Yemen
Health
Anthropic warned the market there may not be enough insurance in the world to covers its AI risks. To less extreme degrees, it's an issue all companies face.
India
In the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 95.01 against the dollar, then lost ground to touch an intra-day low of 95.29 and finally settled for the day at 95.28 (provisional), registering a decline of 21 paise over its previous close
Rates
Two of the 12 Federal Open Market Committee voters dissented from the decision. Both wanted to raise rates by a quarter percentage point.
Housing
In the city’s “apartment horror” films, one of the world’s least affordable housing markets is a backdrop for exploring superstition and socioeconomic anxiety.
India
In a letter to Mr. Gandhi, CTI chairman Brijesh Goyal said representatives of 20 markets wanted to explain how the proposed rally could disrupt business ahead of Deepavali
India
At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee recorded marginal gains and touched 95.03, registering a rise of 4 paise over its previous close
India
Major Indian brokerages are providing retail investors access to U.S. stocks at a time when the local market has been battered.
Gas & oil
The diesel volumes in the Trump-Putin deal won't materially lower prices because the shipments are small compared to total demand, analysts say.
Housing
Home remodelers have always served two different markets, but the current state of housing is now pulling them opposite directions.
Elections
Event contract exchanges see a two-in-three chance that Democrats take control of both the House and Senate.
Elections
Lula’s election victory rattled Brazilian markets and set up a fiscal test as he weighs costly campaign promises against pressure to rein in spending.
Rates
Markets overwhelmingly expect no change in benchmark interest rates following September's increase.