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- We follow big real-world issues, like wars, prices, climate and health, and only show news that changes them.
- Tap a topic to see The full picture: a plain-English summary where every point links to the story it came from.
- The odds show what could happen next. Make your own call, and follow topics to hear when things change.
Outbreaks and public health
Understanding pneumonic plague after Russian lab worker's death
The U.S. is closely monitoring a potential case of pneumonic plague in Russia after a laboratory worker who studied the disease fell ill and died. Russian authorities insist there is no cause for alarm, but officials have imposed quarantines and other measures at several medical facilities in Siberia. Geoff Bennett dis
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TThe Guardian · 7h
Pennsylvania faces largest measles outbreak in decades as case count rises to 1,000
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CCNBC · 7h
Trump offers U.S. help to Russia after plague death; WHO assesses the situation as low risk
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PPBS · 7h
Florida's dengue outbreak is largest in continental U.S. in decades
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PPBS · 5d
WATCH: Senate health committee advances Dr. Nicole Saphier's nomination for surgeon general
Analysis
Public health concerns are intensifying as a significant measles outbreak in Pennsylvania surpasses 1,000 cases and a potential pneumonic plague case in Russia prompts international monitoring. These developments, alongside a WHO report linking 12% of global cancer cases to preventable infections, highlight the ongoing challenges in managing both localized outbreaks and long-term disease prevention. Observers are now watching for further updates from Russian authorities regarding the plague investigation and the effectiveness of containment measures in the U.S. measles crisis.
5 stories say getting worse, 1 story says getting better
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the World Health Organization declare the current Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo over by January 15, 2027?Poll
Should countries share outbreak data with the WHO even when it's politically awkward?
Poll
If a new outbreak spread widely, which measures would you support?
Healthcare access and costs
WATCH: Trump administration issues final rule on transparency in healthcare coverage
At a news conference, Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said the new rule provides a "clear view of what healthcare actually costs."
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CCNBC · 6d
Two Indian nationals charged with smuggling counterfeit Ozempic from China: DOJ
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AAl Jazeera · 5d
Christa Pike execution fails: What next when a lethal injection is botched?
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CCNBC · 5d
AI is operating inside the healthcare billing system. Patients may already be paying the price
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TThe Guardian · 5d
Tennessee governor halts executions after second botched lethal injection attempt this year – US politics live
Analysis
Recent reports highlight rising healthcare barriers, ranging from surging insurance premiums for Starbucks employees in the U.S. to the strain on medical systems in Africa following the withdrawal of U.S. aid programs. These developments underscore how both domestic cost increases and international policy shifts directly impact the affordability and availability of essential care for individuals. Moving forward, observers are monitoring the long-term effects of these funding gaps on patient access and the stability of healthcare infrastructure in affected regions.
1 story says getting better, 1 story says getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the total number of individuals enrolled in the Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplace be lower than 18 million on January 31, 2027?Poll
Should the government negotiate prices for more prescription drugs?
Poll
What is the biggest problem with healthcare where you live?
Trade and tariffs
Little room for ‘giving and taking’: India’s finance minister confirms trade impasse with the U.S.
In the latest sign of growing skepticism around the closure of the trade deal between New Delhi and Washington, an Indian minister said there is little room for ‘giving and taking.’
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TThe Guardian · 18h
Trump heads to Nebraska as supreme court hears first oral arguments of new term – US politics live
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CCNBC · 6d
Beijing warns of retaliation if Europe imposes curbs on Chinese businesses
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CCNBC · 6d
Ford CEO says it's 'too late' for Europe to fend off Chinese automakers, but not for U.S.
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CCNBC · 5d
Trump's latest global tariffs face trade court challenge
Analysis
Recent trade tensions are intensifying as the Trump administration faces political pressure over beef imports and struggles to leverage negotiations with China, while the UK reports its largest food and drink trade deficit since 2000. These developments highlight how shifting tariff policies and international trade imbalances are impacting domestic industries, from Canadian apparel manufacturers to European automotive markets. Observers are now watching for potential rollbacks on specific import plans and further diplomatic developments between the U.S., China, and Canada.
3 stories say getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the Trump administration formally implement new tariffs on Chinese hybrid vehicle imports by March 1, 2027?Poll
Would you pay more for goods made in your own country?
Poll
Do tariffs on imports help or hurt your country overall?
Interest rates and central banks
10-year Treasury yield rises to fresh 2002 high to start the week
U.S. Treasury yields are bouncing after a sharp decline. Investors are looking ahead now to the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve's last meeting.
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CCNBC · 5d
10-year Treasury yield is higher as traders look past inflation data, await jobs report
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CCNBC · 6d
Investors who have shunned diversification face maybe the best buying opportunity for bonds in decades
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CCNBC · 5d
Fed's Kashkari says inflation is 'still too high' even after softer-than-expected PCE data, labor market is 'pretty good'
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PPBS · 5d
No criminal wrongdoing in Federal Reserve building renovation, watchdog says, but it was mismanaged
Analysis
Bond yields have surged to multi-year highs as investors anticipate further interest rate increases from the Federal Reserve to combat persistent inflation. This trend is directly impacting consumers by pushing mortgage rates above 7% and threatening to increase costs for other loans like auto financing. Market observers are now closely watching upcoming Federal Reserve economic projections and policy statements to gauge the duration and severity of these higher borrowing costs.
1 story says getting better, 1 story says getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
Will the Federal Reserve raise the federal funds target rate at or before the December 2026 FOMC meeting?Poll
Should central banks be more worried about inflation or jobs right now?
Poll
What should the central bank do at its next meeting?
Inflation and cost of living
Why airfares could rise even more, but airline profits won't
Airlines are trimming capacity as jet fuel prices keep climbing and travelers keep booking.
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CCNBC · 6d
The Fed's main inflation measure will be released Wednesday. Here's what to expect
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DDW · 5d
Germans' biggest fear is the high cost of living, an annual study finds
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CCNBC · 5d
Holiday retail sales are expected to top $1 trillion as inflation boosts growth
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TThe Guardian · 5d
Good news in US inflation report boosts chances Fed won’t hike rates
Analysis
Rising mortgage rates have surpassed 7% for the first time in 20 months, further straining housing affordability for Americans already grappling with stagnant wages and high prices. While shoppers are increasingly turning to bulk retailers like Costco to manage expenses, reports of price discrepancies at major convenience chains and limited grocery access in some areas highlight ongoing challenges for household budgets. Moving forward, observers are monitoring potential policy shifts regarding energy exports and legislative efforts to increase grocery store competition.
1 story says getting worse
Reported by several outletsForecast
What will be the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate in the United States on January 15, 2027?Poll
What should be the main tool to bring prices down?
Poll
Which rising cost hits your budget hardest right now?
Outbreaks and public health
Syria: An exclusive look at the integration of Uyghur fighters in armed forces
Several factions of foreign fighters are credited with helping topple Syria's Bashar al-Assad nearly two years ago - among them, the Uyghurs, a predominantly Muslim, Turkic ethnic minority spread across Central Asia - notably in China's Xinjiang region. They eventually became amongst the largest contingents of foreign
Coverage · 1 outlet
reporting
What could happen next
Will the World Health Organization declare the current Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo over by January 15, 2027?
Odds move when a signpost is confirmed by the news.