Discuss Full coverage · 18 →
C CNBC· 42m

Gina Raimondo thinks AI ultimately will create jobs. It's the initial mass layoffs wave that worries her

No one knows what AI will mean for jobs long-term, but the layoffs are likely to hit first without proper planning, says former US Commerce Sec. Gina Raimondo.

Analysis

Major AI labs and the Trump administration have recently pivoted toward voluntary safety accords and self-policing agreements, even as industry leaders and experts like Bill Gates continue to debate the necessity of federal regulation. These developments directly impact the public by shaping how AI tools are deployed in the workforce and whether current safety measures are sufficient to prevent risks like autonomous hacking or job displacement. Observers are now watching to see if these voluntary commitments will hold or if rising concerns over AI's societal impact will force a shift toward binding government oversight.

12 stories 12 outlets

2 stories say getting better, 2 stories say getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the United States and China sign a formal bilateral agreement on AI safety or oversight by March 25, 2027?
No formal agreement reached 72%
Formal bilateral agreement signed 28%

Poll

Should AI-generated images and video be required to carry a label?

Poll

How should governments regulate advanced AI?

Discuss Full coverage · 10 →
C CNBC· 42m

Ford CEO says it's 'too late' for Europe to fend off Chinese automakers, but not for U.S.

CEO Jim Farley's warning comes on the heels of a high-profile visit last week by Chinese President Xi Jinping with President Donald Trump

Analysis

Recent trade tensions are intensifying as the Trump administration faces political pressure over beef imports and struggles to leverage negotiations with China, while the UK reports its largest food and drink trade deficit since 2000. These developments highlight how shifting tariff policies and international trade imbalances are impacting domestic industries, from Canadian apparel manufacturers to European automotive markets. Observers are now watching for potential rollbacks on specific import plans and further diplomatic developments between the U.S., China, and Canada.

10 stories 10 outlets

3 stories say getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the Trump administration formally implement new tariffs on Chinese hybrid vehicle imports by March 1, 2027?
New tariffs implemented 56%
No new tariffs implemented 44%

Poll

Would you pay more for goods made in your own country?

Poll

Do tariffs on imports help or hurt your country overall?

Discuss Full coverage · 7 →
T The Guardian· 18h

Trump announces $15bn Iowa steel plant as he bids to boost flagging midterm hopes

President says plant will be built by Indian-owned company and calls it largest such facility in American historyDonald Trump on Monday announced what he called the largest steel plant in American history to be built in Iowa, giving Republicans a jobs message to take to voters in a state that could help decide control

+1 more sources

Analysis

7 developments from 8 outlets in the past week. Recent evidence leans getting better.

7 stories 8 outlets ↓ Getting better

2 stories say getting better, 1 story says getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the University of Cambridge officially reopen its investigation into the hiring process of Professor Jason Arday by March 25, 2027?
No Investigation Reopened 70%
Investigation Reopened 30%

Poll

What worries you more about the job market?

Poll

How secure does your job feel right now?

Discuss Full coverage · 9 →
F France 24· 1d

US deportations are triggering a 'cascade' of rights abuses, UN experts warn

The Trump administration's policy of deportating thousands of people to countries with which they have no links is "increasing risks of torture and ill-treatment and enforced disappearance", a panel of independent UN experts warned on Monday. An investigation by an international consortium of journalists including FRAN

+1 more sources

Analysis

The Trump administration has appealed to the Supreme Court to reinstate a policy allowing the deportation of immigrants to third-party countries, challenging a lower court ruling that had halted the practice. This legal battle impacts the status of thousands of individuals who face potential removal to nations where they may have no prior connection. Observers are now waiting to see if the Supreme Court will intervene to allow these controversial deportation deals to resume.

9 stories 10 outlets

3 stories say getting worse, 2 stories say getting better

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the U.S. Supreme Court issue a ruling or stay that allows the Trump administration to proceed with third-country deportations by March 15, 2027?
Supreme Court allows deportations 85%
Deportations remain blocked or undecided 15%

Last move: Supreme Court grants emergency stay · 42m ago

Poll

Should long-term undocumented residents have a path to legal status?

Poll

What should immigration policy prioritise?

Discuss Full coverage · 14 →
C CNBC· 42m

Investors who have shunned diversification face maybe the best buying opportunity for bonds in decades

No diversification needed: The 10-year total return stocks minus bonds is near the highest in history.

Analysis

Bond yields have surged to multi-year highs as investors anticipate further interest rate increases from the Federal Reserve to combat persistent inflation. This trend is directly impacting consumers by pushing mortgage rates above 7% and threatening to increase costs for other loans like auto financing. Market observers are now closely watching upcoming Federal Reserve economic projections and policy statements to gauge the duration and severity of these higher borrowing costs.

12 stories 12 outlets 3 primary sources

5 stories say getting worse, 1 story says getting better

Well confirmed

Forecast

Will the Federal Reserve raise the federal funds target rate at or before the December 2026 FOMC meeting?
Target rate increases 58%
Target rate remains same or decreases 42%

Poll

Should central banks be more worried about inflation or jobs right now?

Poll

What should the central bank do at its next meeting?