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P PBS· 8h

Scott Colom wins Senate election in Mississippi

Democratic nominee Scott Colom has defeated Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith in Mississippi's closely contested U.S. Senate race after a prolonged ballot counting process, giving the state its first Black U.S. senator since post-Civil War Reconstruction.

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Analysis

Recent elections in Brazil, Israel, and Serbia have resulted in significant political shifts, including a presidential victory for Lula in Brazil and a deadlocked parliamentary outcome in Israel. These developments impact governance and stability in their respective regions, with ongoing concerns regarding election integrity and the peaceful transfer of power. Observers are now watching for the resolution of government formation in Israel and the legal and political fallout surrounding the post-election situation in Brazil.

12 stories 13 outlets
Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff election scheduled for late October 2026?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 44%
Flávio Bolsonaro 43%
Other or contested 13%

Poll

What would most improve trust in elections?

Poll

Should there be age limits for top elected offices?

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P PBS· 8h

How companies are using AI to make you spend more money

Companies have always tried to maximize profits, but now there are a host of sophisticated tools to determine the prices of the goods and services they sell. At a time when so many Americans are frustrated with rising costs, those tools are under greater scrutiny. Economics correspondent Paul Solman explains how that t

Analysis

12 developments from 12 outlets in the past week.

12 stories 12 outlets
Reported by several outlets

Forecast

What will the US year-over-year CPI inflation rate for December 2026 be, as first published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics by January 31, 2027?
2.5% to 2.9% 34%
3.0% to 3.4% 26%
Below 2.5% 24%

Poll

Which rising cost hits your budget hardest right now?

Poll

Compared with a year ago, is your household better or worse off?

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C CBS News· 8h

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent moves into military housing due to Iranian threats

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has moved out of his home in Washington, D.C., and onto a military base out of concern for his safety, including Iranian threats to his life, officials said. Nancy Cordes has more.

Analysis

2 developments from 2 outlets in the past week.

2 stories 2 outlets
Early reports

Forecast

What will the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage average in the United States be on February 25, 2027, according to Freddie Mac?
6.0% to 7.0% 54%
Below 6.0% 25%
Above 7.0% 21%

Poll

What would do most to make housing affordable?

Poll

How much of your income goes to rent or mortgage?

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T The Guardian· 8h

Brooklyn building collapse kills at least two people and traps others in wreckage

Four critical in hospital as firefighters dig through rubble in Flatbush after building next to construction site collapsesFirefighters dug through the rubble of a three-story building in Brooklyn on Wednesday after it collapsed at the edge of a construction site, killing at least two people and trapping others beneath

Analysis

12 developments from 12 outlets in the past week.

12 stories 12 outlets
Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the United States federal government implement new restrictions on Medicare drug price negotiations or expand exemptions for drugmakers by March 31, 2027?
Status quo or expanded negotiations 61%
Expanded exemptions or restricted negotiations 39%

Poll

Have you delayed care in the past year because of cost?

Forecast poll

Will federal courts permanently strike down Medicaid work requirement rules by the end of the year?

Forecast · closes Jan 30
Readers say yes –
70%

Reader odds appear once enough people forecast · resolves automatically from reported evidence.

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C CNBC· 8h

Jensen Huang affair in D.C.: Resignation calls and moves to tighten Nvidia China exports

Huang was notably opposed to strict export controls on AI chips to China, which ruffled feathers with congressional China hawks.

Analysis

The Trump administration is adjusting its 50% tariffs on Canadian goods by exempting some products while replacing others, prompting a new legal challenge and criticism from Canadian officials regarding increased costs for families. These trade tensions are impacting various sectors, with companies like Audi announcing new U.S. manufacturing plants to mitigate tariff exposure and steel producers in other regions reporting collateral damage. Observers are now watching for the outcome of the lawsuit against the administration's use of the Tariff Act and how ongoing diplomatic talks with nations like India and the EU will shape future trade agreements.

6 stories 6 outlets
Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the United States government implement or maintain a tariff of 25% or higher on all imports from Canada as of February 1, 2027?
Tariff below 25% or none 61%
Tariff of 25% or more active 39%

Poll

Do tariffs on imports help or hurt your country overall?

Poll

Which should trade policy protect first?