Analysis

Recent reports confirm new Ebola cases in Nigeria and Kenya, while the ongoing outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo has expanded to an eighth province. These developments raise concerns about regional public health preparedness and the potential for cross-border transmission. Observers are now monitoring how health authorities in affected nations manage containment efforts and border screenings to prevent further spread.

12 stories 12 outlets
Reported by several outlets

Poll

If a new outbreak spread widely, which measures would you support?

Poll

How much do you trust official health advice right now?

Analysis

Recent elections in Brazil, Israel, and Serbia have resulted in significant political shifts, including a presidential victory for Lula in Brazil and a deadlocked parliamentary outcome in Israel. These developments impact governance and stability in their respective regions, with ongoing concerns regarding election integrity and the peaceful transfer of power. Observers are now watching for the resolution of government formation in Israel and the legal and political fallout surrounding the post-election situation in Brazil.

12 stories 12 outlets
Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff election scheduled for late October 2026?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 44%
Flávio Bolsonaro 43%
Other or contested 13%

Poll

What would most improve trust in elections?

Poll

Should there be age limits for top elected offices?

Analysis

12 developments from 12 outlets in the past week.

12 stories 12 outlets
Reported by several outlets

Poll

Have you delayed care in the past year because of cost?

Forecast poll

Will federal courts permanently strike down Medicaid work requirement rules by the end of the year?

Forecast · closes Jan 30
Readers say yes –
70%

Reader odds appear once enough people forecast · resolves automatically from reported evidence.

Analysis

10 developments from 10 outlets in the past week.

10 stories 10 outlets
Reported by several outlets

Poll

Which rising cost hits your budget hardest right now?

Poll

Compared with a year ago, is your household better or worse off?

Analysis

Diplomatic efforts are intensifying as officials from Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan meet with Iranian leadership to prevent further escalation, while Qatari mediators work to restart direct U.S.-Iran negotiations. These developments occur amid ongoing military instability, including Houthi attacks in Yemen and reports of tanker strikes in the Strait of Hormuz, which threaten regional shipping and energy security. Observers are now watching for Iran's response to a letter from U.S. Vice President JD Vance and monitoring potential shifts in U.S. military strategy following recent Pentagon personnel changes.

12 stories 13 outlets
Reported by several outlets

Poll

Should the US take military action if Iran moves closer to a nuclear weapon?

Poll

If shipping through the Strait of Hormuz is disrupted, who should keep it open?