Discuss Full coverage · 10 →
C CNBC· 2h

Treasury sanctions 17 tankers linked to Iran's 'shadow fleet' in economic pressure campaign

The additional sanctions are part of the Trump administration's military and economic campaign against Iran.

Analysis

President Trump has rejected an Iranian proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for a seven-day truce, while simultaneously signaling that no further U.S. strikes on Iran will occur before the upcoming midterm elections. These ongoing tensions and the disruption of oil shipping routes have contributed to economic instability in the region, including the devaluation of the Iraqi dinar. Observers are now watching for the potential resumption of diplomatic talks next week and the impact of new U.S. sanctions targeting Iran's oil tanker fleet.

10 stories 11 outlets

3 stories say getting worse, 1 story says getting better, 1 story says mixed

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the United States and Iran sign a formal ceasefire or a new Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) by March 25, 2027?
No formal agreement reached 61%
Agreement or MoU signed 39%

Poll

What is the best way to reduce the risk of a wider Middle East war?

Poll

Should the US take military action if Iran moves closer to a nuclear weapon?

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P PBS· 2h

Can $1 billion power the GOP to victory in the midterms? Some campaigns fear it's too late

Republicans are entering the final month of the midterm campaign increasingly anxious that the $1 billion at their disposal may not be enough to fend off sweeping losses as the party reckons with President Donald Trump's unpopularity, persistent cost concerns and the fallout from the war in Iran.

Analysis

Global elections are currently in flux, with voters heading to the polls in Brazil and Kosovo while political tensions rise in France and Bosnia. In the United States, Supreme Court rulings on congressional maps and voter databases are shaping the landscape for upcoming midterm elections, while political opposition in India has formally challenged election commission leadership. Observers are now watching to see how these judicial decisions and political shifts impact voter access and the final outcomes of these critical contests.

12 stories 12 outlets

1 story says getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the 2026 US midterm election results be officially certified in all states by December 31, 2026?
All states certified by deadline 72%
One or more states delayed 28%

Poll

Should social media platforms remove false claims about voting?

Poll

What would most improve trust in elections?

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P PBS· 2h

News Wrap: Judge extends White House access for news outlets

In our news wrap Thursday, a federal judge extended White House access for three news outlets until a final ruling on President Trump's press ban is reached, the Trump administration is suspending Microsoft from a green card program, accusing the tech giant of abusing the system and Ukraine says a Russian guided bomb k

Analysis

Recent developments show an intensification of the conflict, with Russia launching deadly strikes on Ukrainian civilians and infrastructure while Western officials report an escalating 'shadow war' of sabotage and cyberattacks across Europe. These hostilities threaten global stability by disrupting Black Sea shipping routes and raising concerns about a potential food crisis, while US envoys prepare to discuss new peace proposals. Observers are now watching for the outcome of these diplomatic meetings in Miami and the effectiveness of new joint European partnerships designed to counter Russian hybrid threats.

4 stories 4 outlets

1 story says mixed, 1 story says getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the UN General Assembly or G20 adopt a resolution or joint declaration formally condemning Russia's invasion of Ukraine by 2027-01-15?
No formal condemnation 61%
Formal condemnation adopted 39%

Poll

Would you support a ceasefire that freezes current front lines?

Poll

Should Western countries keep sending weapons to Ukraine?

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C CNBC· 14h

Americans grow more pessimistic about their finances, New York Fed finds — expert warns of ‘tough choices’ ahead

As affordability pressures mount, Americans are increasingly concerned about their financial future, the New York Fed's data shows.

Analysis

Rising mortgage rates have surpassed 7% for the first time in 20 months, further straining housing affordability for Americans already grappling with stagnant wages and high prices. While shoppers are increasingly turning to bulk retailers like Costco to manage expenses, reports of price discrepancies at major convenience chains and limited grocery access in some areas highlight ongoing challenges for household budgets. Moving forward, observers are monitoring potential policy shifts regarding energy exports and legislative efforts to increase grocery store competition.

3 stories 3 outlets

2 stories say getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

What will be the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate in the United States on January 15, 2027?
Between 6.0% and 7.0% 43%
Above 7.0% 37%
Below 6.0% 21%

Poll

What should be the main tool to bring prices down?

Poll

Which rising cost hits your budget hardest right now?

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C CNBC· 14h

Fed officials see another hike coming, but no sign as to when, minutes show

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday released minutes from its Sept. 15-16 policy meeting.

Analysis

Bond yields have surged to multi-year highs as investors anticipate further interest rate increases from the Federal Reserve to combat persistent inflation. This trend is directly impacting consumers by pushing mortgage rates above 7% and threatening to increase costs for other loans like auto financing. Market observers are now closely watching upcoming Federal Reserve economic projections and policy statements to gauge the duration and severity of these higher borrowing costs.

3 stories 3 outlets

1 story says getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the Federal Reserve raise the federal funds target rate at or before the December 2026 FOMC meeting?
Target rate increases 58%
Target rate remains same or decreases 42%

Poll

Should central banks be more worried about inflation or jobs right now?

Poll

What should the central bank do at its next meeting?